A common challenge or question faced by NBA management every year is: What type of prospects tend to make it and not make it? Instead of predicting the success of how well a player will perform after they are drafted, I’ve gone ahead and taken the time to look back at the success of every player drafted in the first two rounds after 1970.
The method I’ve used is through a metric I created called the Success Metric. This metric is definitely not absolute. I hope to continue to iterate and improve the way the metric is calculated through feedback from basketball enthusiasts and the broader community. I broke down the metric into two categories: Statistics and Accomplishments. For each sub-category, I assigned a weighted point value to each statistic and accomplishment. I’ve highlighted and broken down these (shown on the right). It’s important to recognize that this metric is strictly looking at success in basketball and not anything outside of basketball.